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Red26
472411.3
157320.4
475718.2
Blue18
165721.0
306522.7
308317.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476601001502002502618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1573
#27
20.41.7
15.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3065
#46
22.73.0
24.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4757
#37
18.21.6
19.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1657
#38
21.03.3
18.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4724
#13
11.31.7
14.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3083
#39
17.43.0
20.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End