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Red110
195219.5
503828.6
307513.5
Blue56
441611.5
221320.1
169033.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4767010015020025011056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5038
#20
28.64.0
24.828.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1690
#40
33.90.5
31.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1952
#19
19.54.0
15.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2213
#45
20.10.5
20.620.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3075
#28
13.54.0
9.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4416
#42
11.50.5
11.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End