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Red70
221217.2
321135.6
333936.0
Blue107
157734.9
223124.6
169033.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9188608010012014070107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#18
36.00.4
36.536.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
34.90.4
33.433.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.60.4
36.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1690
#40
33.90.4
32.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2212
#17
17.20.4
17.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
24.60.4
23.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End