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Red192
246868.5
395931.5
192743.1
Blue195
393774.1
36475.4
361618.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134171050100200250300350400192195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#15
68.50.9
67.668.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
364
#2
75.40.6
74.575.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1927
#36
43.11.1
42.043.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.0
74.10.5
73.473.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
31.50.9
30.631.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
3616
#40
18.70.5
17.918.4
Auto
Teleop
End