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Red6
435311.4
224213.6
303932.6
Blue78
394618.1
375340.8
395931.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54570100150678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#20
32.64.0
23.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3753
#16
40.81.8
28.830.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2242
#54
13.64.0
14.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
31.51.1
13.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#33
11.44.0
15.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
3946
#47
18.11.8
13.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End