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Red76
393774.1
335025.5
516813.3
Blue100
360614.6
219043.1
281717.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9059015020076100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.5
54.754.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.0
2190
#10
43.12.0
32.934.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3350
#35
25.50.5
16.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
2817
#29
17.93.0
17.220.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5168
#43
13.30.8
14.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3606
#30
14.63.0
13.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End