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Red12
472112.7
431621.5
420920.0
Blue75
375340.8
497822.8
361249.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33940501502001275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4316
#50
21.52.5
12.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
49.60.5
44.243.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4209
#17
20.02.5
13.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.8
3753
#16
40.80.8
30.629.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4721
#31
12.72.5
16.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
4978
#34
22.80.8
9.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End