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Red135
207825.5
410718.7
131969.6
Blue100
435311.4
219043.1
504013.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106510150200250135100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.61.9
69.371.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.5
2190
#10
43.12.0
32.734.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2078
#11
25.53.1
13.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
5040
#53
13.23.4
15.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4107
#42
18.73.1
15.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
4353
#33
11.43.4
11.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End