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Red130
378320.2
45660.4
361618.7
Blue91
516914.1
246868.5
420920.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779705015020013091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#8
60.42.5
50.052.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
2468
#15
68.50.1
63.563.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3783
#51
20.22.5
24.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4209
#17
20.00.2
10.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3616
#40
18.72.5
5.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
5169
#49
14.10.2
19.719.4
Auto
Teleop
End