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Red31
497822.8
333717.9
331926.5
Blue51
435311.4
291820.6
516813.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564401001503151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3319
#39
26.51.9
18.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
2918
#21
20.60.4
16.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4978
#34
22.810.8
22.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
5168
#43
13.31.2
13.314.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3337
#46
17.91.4
21.420.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4353
#33
11.40.4
15.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End