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Red115
532523.3
142160.9
222122.6
Blue150
516813.3
219043.1
45660.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105980200300400115150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#12
60.90.6
60.060.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
456
#8
60.42.5
52.555.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5325
#22
23.30.9
22.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.8
2190
#10
43.12.5
34.737.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2221
#37
22.60.9
20.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
5168
#43
13.34.2
12.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End