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Red168
94534.2
420920.0
207825.5
Blue70
394618.1
50557.6
191247.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4567010015020016870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
#13
34.26.0
21.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
1912
#24
47.50.3
41.641.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2078
#11
25.510.0
16.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3946
#47
18.10.5
16.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4209
#17
20.010.0
10.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
5055
#57
7.60.5
6.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End