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Red100
291820.6
516914.1
375340.8
Blue26
346812.9
335025.5
504013.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6856010015020010026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
#16
40.82.8
33.135.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
3350
#35
25.51.6
21.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2918
#21
20.62.8
13.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
5040
#53
13.22.7
19.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5169
#49
14.12.8
19.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3468
#41
12.92.7
16.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End