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Red50
222122.6
378320.2
303932.6
Blue165
208021.2
393774.1
360614.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699505015020050165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#20
32.61.9
25.323.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.6
74.13.7
60.464.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2221
#37
22.61.9
23.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2080
#25
21.23.7
16.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3783
#51
20.21.1
24.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
3606
#30
14.66.2
13.719.9
Auto
Teleop
End