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Qual 662014 Bayou Regional
Red118
408713.2
192028.3
181820.1
Blue29
410718.7
431621.5
50557.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3646020608010012014011829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1920
#23
28.36.7
18.2→24.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
4316
#50
21.51.3
16.9→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1818
#26
20.16.7
14.5→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
4107
#42
18.71.3
16.6→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4087
#56
13.26.7
4.9→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
5055
#57
7.61.3
11.0→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—