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Red100
472112.7
435311.4
393774.1
Blue41
408713.2
3420.7
346812.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9440015020025010041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.10.7
64.164.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 53.4
34
#27
20.70.6
21.320.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4721
#31
12.71.1
9.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4087
#56
13.20.6
11.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#33
11.41.1
12.513.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3468
#41
12.90.6
15.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End