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Red92
281717.9
191247.5
504013.2
Blue18
435311.4
532523.3
333717.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756101001502002503009218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#24
47.51.0
43.044.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.2
5325
#22
23.33.3
27.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2817
#29
17.91.4
14.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3337
#46
17.92.3
21.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5040
#53
13.21.4
14.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4353
#33
11.43.3
13.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End