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Red96
94534.2
497822.8
281717.9
Blue106
361618.7
303932.6
410718.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7061010015020025030096106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
#13
34.21.4
31.332.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3039
#20
32.62.9
29.632.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4978
#34
22.81.8
21.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4107
#42
18.72.9
15.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2817
#29
17.91.8
16.117.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3616
#40
18.72.2
16.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End