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Red156
176130.6
107337.6
115345.1
Blue126
9719.9
105833.5
12657.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110111100120130140150156126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.8
44.144.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
126
#6
57.90.3
57.657.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
#26
37.60.8
36.637.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
33.50.3
33.233.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1761
#18
30.60.8
29.630.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
97
#27
19.90.3
19.719.9
Auto
Teleop
End