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Red21
9719.9
107337.6
431117.5
Blue125
176130.6
346775.6
417614.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411105015020025021125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#26
37.62.5
32.530.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.9
75.61.1
63.764.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
97
#27
19.92.5
26.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
1761
#18
30.61.1
25.726.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4311
#23
17.52.5
12.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4176
#21
14.51.1
14.215.3
Auto
Teleop
End