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Red16
349926.6
492912.2
479611.6
Blue21
415110.0
431117.5
15720.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574801002003004005006007008001621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3499
#25
26.62.0
28.926.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
157
#32
20.51.4
24.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4929
#38
12.22.0
15.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4311
#23
17.51.4
10.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4796
#40
11.62.0
11.39.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4151
#36
10.01.4
14.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End