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Red104
15720.5
24638.8
115345.1
Blue95
6940.0
147417.8
226214.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9852015020025010495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.7
30.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
69
#9
40.01.8
32.133.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
#3
38.80.7
35.135.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
1474
#37
17.81.8
16.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
157
#32
20.50.7
25.225.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2262
#35
14.41.8
10.312.1
Auto
Teleop
End