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Red41
417614.5
196510.4
431117.5
Blue149
24638.8
490837.2
349926.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368805010015020041149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#23
17.50.1
16.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
246
#3
38.83.5
33.937.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4176
#21
14.50.1
14.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.6
4908
#14
37.23.5
24.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
#13
10.40.1
13.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
3499
#25
26.63.5
21.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End