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Red190
105833.5
12574.8
24638.8
Blue123
417614.5
287751.4
12657.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128114050100150200250190123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
74.83.2
60.063.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
126
#6
57.90.3
56.757.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
246
#3
38.83.2
37.340.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
51.40.3
45.746.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
33.53.2
28.631.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
4176
#21
14.50.3
14.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End