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Red230
283244.2
191888.3
102362.6
Blue93
360438.2
4855.2
5156.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189150010030040050023093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
88.30.8
83.984.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.3
51
Unranked
56.91.0
58.056.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
Unranked
62.60.8
59.059.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
48
Unranked
55.21.0
57.556.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2832
Unranked
44.20.8
39.940.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
3604
Unranked
38.21.0
40.539.4
Auto
Teleop
End