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Red85
30835.3
191888.3
102362.6
Blue195
7463.1
2772.2
57353.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20520510014018020085195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
88.36.0
78.472.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
27
Unranked
72.20.5
95.194.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
Unranked
62.66.0
77.971.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
74
Unranked
63.10.5
52.752.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
308
Unranked
35.36.0
49.043.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
573
Unranked
53.90.5
57.657.0
Auto
Teleop
End