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Red115
50343.3
125034.2
102362.6
Blue148
54838.0
364137.9
10757.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167168100150200250115148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
Unranked
62.62.7
71.969.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
107
Unranked
57.10.9
64.363.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
Unranked
43.32.7
57.755.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
548
Unranked
38.00.9
49.648.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1250
Unranked
34.22.7
39.136.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
3641
Unranked
37.90.9
52.651.7
Auto
Teleop
End