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Red111
102362.6
6776.4
15286.7
Blue126
5156.9
360438.2
283244.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188147050100250300350111126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
76.43.6
89.786.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
51
Unranked
56.91.4
76.174.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
Unranked
62.63.6
81.578.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
2832
Unranked
44.21.4
31.029.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1528
Unranked
6.73.6
10.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.5
3604
Unranked
38.21.4
46.344.9
Auto
Teleop
End