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Red93
81529.7
505021.0
30835.3
Blue101
15286.7
150427.7
173250.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10378020030040093101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
Unranked
35.30.3
43.042.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
1732
Unranked
50.21.0
49.850.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
Unranked
29.70.3
35.935.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1504
Unranked
27.71.0
24.425.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5050
Unranked
21.00.3
20.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
1528
Unranked
6.71.0
7.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End