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Red82
332245.3
213764.8
12339.2
Blue123
309849.9
171871.1
7061.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149213010030040050082123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
Unranked
64.83.8
69.165.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1718
Unranked
71.14.0
82.878.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3322
Unranked
45.33.8
44.440.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
70
Unranked
61.04.0
62.258.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
123
Unranked
39.23.8
44.941.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
3098
Unranked
49.94.0
57.853.8
Auto
Teleop
End