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Red146
30835.3
332245.3
150427.7
Blue75
173250.2
364137.9
354733.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214205020025030035040014675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
Unranked
45.31.9
40.642.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1732
Unranked
50.23.0
51.448.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
35.31.9
39.241.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3641
Unranked
37.93.0
45.742.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1504
Unranked
27.71.9
27.929.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
3547
Unranked
33.23.0
38.635.5
Auto
Teleop
End