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Red165
4855.2
6776.4
22623.3
Blue80
167538.1
50343.3
57353.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166153010020030040050016580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
Unranked
76.40.0
79.679.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
573
Unranked
53.93.7
58.254.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
Unranked
55.20.0
59.359.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
503
Unranked
43.33.7
53.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
226
Unranked
23.30.0
25.525.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
1675
Unranked
38.13.7
43.039.3
Auto
Teleop
End