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Red82
173250.2
30247.4
509023.4
Blue70
364137.9
15286.7
24542.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129950501502002503003508270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
Unranked
50.22.1
48.946.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
245
Unranked
42.51.5
48.747.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
302
Unranked
47.42.1
51.249.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
3641
Unranked
37.91.5
42.641.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5090
Unranked
23.42.1
24.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
1528
Unranked
6.71.5
8.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End