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Red150
124334.6
191888.3
50343.3
Blue130
173250.2
309849.9
50659.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241340100200300400150130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
88.33.0
85.382.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 38.1
1732
Unranked
50.20.9
55.854.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
Unranked
43.33.0
68.065.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
3098
Unranked
49.90.9
69.068.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1243
Unranked
34.63.0
56.553.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
5065
Unranked
9.80.9
22.922.0
Auto
Teleop
End