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Red225
46993.6
81529.7
191888.3
Blue49
364137.9
170122.3
24542.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22893020030040050022549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
Unranked
93.60.9
95.896.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 51.1
245
Unranked
42.53.2
47.244.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1918
Unranked
88.30.9
83.083.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 50.4
3641
Unranked
37.93.2
41.137.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
Unranked
29.70.9
28.829.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1701
Unranked
22.33.2
25.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End