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Red149
323627.5
6141.8
176821.4
Blue78
242334.0
409725.7
110026.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6188010015020025014978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#10
41.87.0
25.032.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
34.00.3
24.724.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3236
#17
27.54.2
20.224.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1100
#28
26.40.5
36.736.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1768
#26
21.47.0
19.826.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
4097
#22
25.70.5
22.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End