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Red146
88542.7
115324.2
287737.9
Blue59
362310.7
404841.0
404125.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9840015020025014659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#18
42.72.8
44.847.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4048
#14
41.00.9
15.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2877
#15
37.94.7
15.720.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
4041
#27
25.80.9
18.519.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1153
#25
24.24.7
28.833.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
3623
#33
10.70.9
14.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End