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Red20
490513.2
102715.1
323627.5
Blue76
176821.4
362310.7
81145.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548201001502076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3236
#17
27.51.9
25.323.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
811
#19
45.90.1
38.938.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1027
#38
15.13.2
17.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
1768
#26
21.40.1
24.224.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
13.23.2
15.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3623
#33
10.70.1
14.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End