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Red58
264833.5
362310.7
12772.8
Blue105
409725.7
447326.5
490932.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526902040608010012014016058105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.1
34.835.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
32.31.9
31.233.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3623
#33
10.70.2
14.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
26.51.9
14.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1277
#39
2.80.1
5.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.0
4097
#22
25.73.2
21.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End