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Red67
176821.4
320523.6
15718.2
Blue71
135036.7
490932.3
16877.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67820501001502006771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#34
23.60.2
27.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
36.70.7
35.234.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1768
#26
21.40.2
24.023.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
32.30.4
33.132.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
157
#16
18.20.2
18.318.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1687
#30
7.40.7
11.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End