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Red24
323627.5
15718.2
12772.8
Blue101
23827.1
456443.6
102715.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4382010015024101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3236
#17
27.51.3
25.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
43.61.8
38.240.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
#16
18.21.8
18.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
238
#23
27.11.8
19.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1277
#39
2.81.3
5.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
1027
#38
15.11.8
17.419.3
Auto
Teleop
End