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Red128
110026.4
46719.7
173545.7
Blue135
490513.2
404841.0
242334.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87550100150200250128135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1735
#20
45.73.3
41.344.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
4048
#14
41.05.4
23.028.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
#28
26.43.3
24.527.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
34.03.7
30.434.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
#31
19.73.3
16.719.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
13.25.4
7.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End