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Red122
81145.9
490932.3
88542.7
Blue124
287737.9
46719.7
19039.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12675050100150200250122124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#19
45.90.2
44.544.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
190
#13
39.32.0
33.735.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
885
#18
42.70.2
42.342.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2877
#15
37.92.3
32.034.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
32.30.2
31.231.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
467
#31
19.72.3
17.519.7
Auto
Teleop
End