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Red126
71639.8
88542.7
416923.3
Blue116
512239.6
81145.9
264833.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104118050150200250126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#18
42.70.3
42.843.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
811
#19
45.90.0
44.844.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#1
39.80.3
39.940.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
5122
#12
39.60.0
38.438.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4169
#32
23.30.3
23.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
33.50.0
32.332.3
Auto
Teleop
End