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Red225
119519.4
371415.0
252840.5
Blue102
446425.0
337327.0
144615.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50650100150200225102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.59.6
24.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
3373
#20
27.02.4
22.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1195
#39
19.414.4
16.631.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4464
#50
25.02.2
31.433.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3714
#43
15.014.4
10.925.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1446
#44
15.63.3
8.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End