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Red62
237738.0
171929.0
413716.7
Blue101
494918.5
174153.5
253439.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839605015020025062101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#31
38.01.3
43.642.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
1741
#16
53.50.4
47.147.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1719
#49
29.01.4
30.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
2534
#10
39.80.4
27.928.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4137
#41
16.71.9
10.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4949
#36
18.50.4
18.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End