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Qual 222014 Chesapeake Regional
Red102
338941.3
16017.8
32949.5
Blue172
237738.0
119519.4
40143.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621260100150200250300350102172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#30
49.51.5
38.6→40.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
401
#22
43.73.1
42.3→45.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3389
#19
41.32.5
21.0→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
2377
#31
38.02.8
42.3→45.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1601
#52
7.82.5
11.9→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.6
1195
#39
19.44.7
31.0→35.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—