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Qual 262014 Chesapeake Regional
Red176
236372.1
494918.5
111152.3
Blue90
174153.5
374813.6
406739.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1309205015020025030035017690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#4
72.12.9
65.1→68.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.6
1741
#16
53.50.4
47.4→47.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1111
#29
52.32.6
39.5→42.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
4067
#5
39.50.4
28.8→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4949
#36
18.52.9
19.2→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
3748
#28
13.60.6
21.5→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—