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Qual 302014 Chesapeake Regional
Red131
494522.5
6329.6
23353.2
Blue42
62019.0
154720.9
445626.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9060015020013142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#11
53.22.3
51.0→53.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.2
4456
#12
26.01.1
28.3→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
63
#9
29.62.3
18.1→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.7
1547
#38
20.91.1
15.0→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4945
#18
22.52.3
16.0→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
620
#26
19.01.1
21.0→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—