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Qual 382014 Chesapeake Regional
Red57
154720.9
237738.0
511515.7
Blue61
17489.9
219936.8
62019.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726301001502002503003505761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#31
38.00.7
42.5→41.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
2199
#21
36.80.2
39.0→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1547
#38
20.90.7
13.9→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
620
#26
19.00.2
19.8→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5115
#42
15.71.2
14.4→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.8
1748
#45
9.90.3
5.8→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—